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Rest-of-season and full-season counting-stat forecasts for every rated MLB player. Current Baseball Savant rates are regressed to a multi-year prior so a hot month doesn't inflate a player's projection, and small-sample breakouts are pulled toward the league mean until they stabilize. Refreshed nightly.
Projection snapshot date: July 15, 2026 · page generated July 18, 2026
| Player | Team | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | SO | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 46 | 46 | 2 | 35 | 56 | 0.276 | 0.360 | 0.551 |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Pittsburgh Pirates | 20 | 39 | 37 | 0 | 20 | 75 | 0.309 | 0.371 | 0.713 |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | 20 | 39 | 42 | 2 | 38 | 89 | 0.250 | 0.355 | 0.553 |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | 19 | 42 | 42 | 1 | 33 | 64 | 0.267 | 0.350 | 0.570 |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros | 19 | 46 | 46 | 1 | 39 | 46 | 0.314 | 0.408 | 0.619 |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | 18 | 47 | 49 | 10 | 52 | 89 | 0.276 | 0.393 | 0.554 |
| Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | 17 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 22 | 85 | 0.224 | 0.282 | 0.478 |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | 16 | 42 | 40 | 1 | 29 | 69 | 0.264 | 0.333 | 0.519 |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | 16 | 35 | 33 | 3 | 19 | 74 | 0.255 | 0.311 | 0.536 |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | 15 | 39 | 41 | 6 | 42 | 34 | 0.284 | 0.401 | 0.556 |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | 15 | 40 | 38 | 1 | 26 | 77 | 0.249 | 0.311 | 0.483 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays | 15 | 36 | 35 | 0 | 25 | 81 | 0.239 | 0.306 | 0.469 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | 15 | 45 | 42 | 18 | 32 | 80 | 0.278 | 0.343 | 0.514 |
| Luis García Jr. | Washington Nationals | 15 | 37 | 32 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 0.284 | 0.317 | 0.554 |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | 14 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 32 | 70 | 0.254 | 0.335 | 0.483 |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | 14 | 40 | 39 | 7 | 31 | 62 | 0.257 | 0.333 | 0.475 |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | 14 | 40 | 41 | 4 | 40 | 57 | 0.266 | 0.367 | 0.504 |
| Miguel Vargas | Chicago White Sox | 13 | 37 | 38 | 7 | 38 | 48 | 0.236 | 0.331 | 0.465 |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | 13 | 39 | 37 | 1 | 28 | 61 | 0.261 | 0.328 | 0.455 |
| Ketel Marte | Arizona Diamondbacks | 13 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 23 | 42 | 0.263 | 0.317 | 0.472 |
| Casey Schmitt | San Francisco Giants | 13 | 38 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 0.270 | 0.284 | 0.479 |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | 13 | 35 | 32 | 4 | 18 | 62 | 0.235 | 0.279 | 0.468 |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | 13 | 34 | 35 | 3 | 33 | 52 | 0.240 | 0.335 | 0.484 |
| Shea Langeliers | Athletics | 13 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 18 | 52 | 0.255 | 0.308 | 0.488 |
| Rafael Devers | San Francisco Giants | 13 | 37 | 36 | 0 | 28 | 74 | 0.251 | 0.324 | 0.480 |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | 13 | 34 | 34 | 2 | 29 | 59 | 0.229 | 0.307 | 0.441 |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | 13 | 38 | 34 | 8 | 21 | 65 | 0.273 | 0.327 | 0.490 |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | 13 | 34 | 32 | 0 | 21 | 59 | 0.239 | 0.296 | 0.455 |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | 13 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 30 | 74 | 0.266 | 0.337 | 0.475 |
| Zach Neto | Los Angeles Angels | 12 | 36 | 34 | 9 | 27 | 85 | 0.241 | 0.310 | 0.456 |
| Nick Kurtz | Athletics | 12 | 34 | 37 | 3 | 41 | 73 | 0.274 | 0.401 | 0.526 |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | 12 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 19 | 67 | 0.279 | 0.326 | 0.491 |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | 12 | 42 | 35 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 0.282 | 0.308 | 0.469 |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers | 12 | 34 | 35 | 6 | 34 | 66 | 0.252 | 0.350 | 0.475 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | 12 | 40 | 36 | 1 | 22 | 58 | 0.282 | 0.334 | 0.475 |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | 12 | 38 | 35 | 7 | 25 | 67 | 0.239 | 0.297 | 0.430 |
| Cal Raleigh | Seattle Mariners | 12 | 30 | 32 | 3 | 33 | 84 | 0.196 | 0.294 | 0.382 |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals | 12 | 33 | 32 | 4 | 25 | 47 | 0.245 | 0.318 | 0.458 |
| Samuel Basallo | Baltimore Orioles | 12 | 31 | 29 | 0 | 18 | 59 | 0.237 | 0.296 | 0.448 |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | 12 | 34 | 30 | 0 | 15 | 53 | 0.262 | 0.299 | 0.489 |
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers | 12 | 40 | 36 | 5 | 22 | 57 | 0.269 | 0.319 | 0.464 |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs | 12 | 34 | 35 | 3 | 35 | 85 | 0.227 | 0.322 | 0.432 |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 21 | 55 | 0.277 | 0.334 | 0.518 |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | 11 | 31 | 31 | 1 | 29 | 53 | 0.251 | 0.342 | 0.481 |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | 11 | 34 | 31 | 10 | 20 | 53 | 0.269 | 0.318 | 0.497 |
| Eugenio Suárez | Cincinnati Reds | 11 | 30 | 28 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 0.222 | 0.285 | 0.429 |
| Spencer Torkelson | Detroit Tigers | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 29 | 85 | 0.216 | 0.297 | 0.420 |
| Kerry Carpenter | Detroit Tigers | 11 | 27 | 25 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 0.242 | 0.286 | 0.499 |
| Dansby Swanson | Chicago Cubs | 11 | 32 | 31 | 9 | 26 | 63 | 0.223 | 0.297 | 0.416 |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | 11 | 34 | 31 | 2 | 19 | 76 | 0.241 | 0.293 | 0.431 |
| Heriberto Hernández | Miami Marlins | 11 | 29 | 28 | 4 | 21 | 50 | 0.245 | 0.319 | 0.473 |
| Jake Burger | Texas Rangers | 11 | 32 | 29 | 1 | 18 | 64 | 0.242 | 0.293 | 0.432 |
| Joc Pederson | Texas Rangers | 11 | 28 | 28 | 1 | 26 | 49 | 0.235 | 0.321 | 0.454 |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 40 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 72 | 0.287 | 0.326 | 0.472 |
| Royce Lewis | Minnesota Twins | 10 | 32 | 31 | 6 | 24 | 69 | 0.227 | 0.292 | 0.408 |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | 10 | 33 | 31 | 1 | 24 | 80 | 0.247 | 0.309 | 0.460 |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | 10 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 24 | 70 | 0.269 | 0.337 | 0.485 |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | 10 | 43 | 40 | 0 | 36 | 65 | 0.298 | 0.373 | 0.475 |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | 10 | 40 | 37 | 2 | 31 | 44 | 0.290 | 0.366 | 0.489 |
| Dominic Canzone | Seattle Mariners | 10 | 27 | 25 | 1 | 16 | 40 | 0.262 | 0.321 | 0.500 |
| Carter Jensen | Kansas City Royals | 10 | 34 | 32 | 1 | 24 | 77 | 0.241 | 0.306 | 0.431 |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | 10 | 22 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 0.271 | 0.315 | 0.573 |
| Brooks Lee | Minnesota Twins | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 20 | 45 | 0.245 | 0.297 | 0.408 |
| Riley Greene | Detroit Tigers | 10 | 38 | 36 | 1 | 33 | 73 | 0.280 | 0.364 | 0.470 |
| Mickey Moniak | Colorado Rockies | 10 | 25 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 0.264 | 0.300 | 0.527 |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | 10 | 36 | 35 | 9 | 32 | 63 | 0.250 | 0.333 | 0.475 |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers | 10 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 20 | 27 | 0.249 | 0.307 | 0.431 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | New York Yankees | 10 | 28 | 25 | 2 | 14 | 47 | 0.258 | 0.306 | 0.469 |
| Jo Adell | Los Angeles Angels | 9 | 31 | 26 | 3 | 9 | 56 | 0.238 | 0.257 | 0.403 |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | 9 | 38 | 38 | 2 | 43 | 69 | 0.247 | 0.345 | 0.422 |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | 9 | 38 | 33 | 2 | 21 | 40 | 0.261 | 0.305 | 0.426 |
| Willy Adames | San Francisco Giants | 9 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 17 | 64 | 0.230 | 0.286 | 0.418 |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | 9 | 39 | 39 | 4 | 39 | 65 | 0.279 | 0.371 | 0.466 |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | 9 | 35 | 31 | 2 | 19 | 37 | 0.275 | 0.327 | 0.457 |
| Josh Bell | Minnesota Twins | 9 | 34 | 30 | 1 | 21 | 56 | 0.245 | 0.301 | 0.416 |
| Gavin Sheets | San Diego Padres | 9 | 29 | 28 | 2 | 26 | 50 | 0.231 | 0.313 | 0.423 |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros | 9 | 35 | 33 | 0 | 28 | 45 | 0.250 | 0.315 | 0.415 |
| Spencer Steer | Cincinnati Reds | 9 | 30 | 29 | 3 | 23 | 53 | 0.241 | 0.309 | 0.423 |
| Yandy Díaz | Tampa Bay Rays | 9 | 42 | 37 | 1 | 26 | 38 | 0.313 | 0.367 | 0.479 |
| JJ Wetherholt | St. Louis Cardinals | 9 | 36 | 34 | 6 | 28 | 44 | 0.259 | 0.322 | 0.399 |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers | 9 | 39 | 37 | 12 | 36 | 70 | 0.269 | 0.356 | 0.445 |
| Jose Altuve | Houston Astros | 9 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 23 | 55 | 0.253 | 0.316 | 0.417 |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | 9 | 37 | 34 | 4 | 28 | 60 | 0.258 | 0.325 | 0.433 |
| Kyle Manzardo | Cleveland Guardians | 9 | 29 | 28 | 0 | 25 | 74 | 0.222 | 0.297 | 0.390 |
| Jonah Heim | Athletics | 9 | 26 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 41 | 0.224 | 0.275 | 0.397 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | New York Yankees | 8 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 22 | 62 | 0.232 | 0.307 | 0.411 |
| Bryce Eldridge | San Francisco Giants | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 32 | 60 | 0.258 | 0.354 | 0.447 |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | 8 | 38 | 35 | 0 | 28 | 37 | 0.296 | 0.362 | 0.475 |
| Colt Emerson | Seattle Mariners | 8 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 0.201 | 0.262 | 0.396 |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | 8 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 21 | 61 | 0.263 | 0.316 | 0.402 |
| Nolan Arenado | Arizona Diamondbacks | 8 | 31 | 28 | 2 | 20 | 50 | 0.249 | 0.303 | 0.408 |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | 8 | 28 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 0.224 | 0.247 | 0.376 |
| Jackson Merrill | San Diego Padres | 8 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 69 | 0.238 | 0.288 | 0.396 |
| Francisco Alvarez | New York Mets | 8 | 27 | 25 | 0 | 16 | 54 | 0.250 | 0.303 | 0.424 |
| Dalton Rushing | Los Angeles Dodgers | 8 | 23 | 22 | 0 | 16 | 48 | 0.242 | 0.303 | 0.440 |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | 8 | 27 | 23 | 1 | 11 | 47 | 0.257 | 0.285 | 0.439 |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | 8 | 38 | 32 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 0.287 | 0.319 | 0.469 |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | 8 | 34 | 33 | 6 | 31 | 39 | 0.260 | 0.345 | 0.429 |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | 8 | 28 | 25 | 9 | 18 | 71 | 0.221 | 0.273 | 0.409 |
| Denzer Guzman | Los Angeles Angels | 8 | 28 | 24 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 0.248 | 0.288 | 0.400 |
| Player | Team | Role | ERA | WHIP | K | BB | H | HR | IP Outs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | Toronto Blue Jays | SP | 4.71 | 1.18 | 104 | 30 | 52 | 6 | 209 |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins | SP | 5.39 | 1.25 | 96 | 33 | 73 | 12 | 253 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers | SP | 3.58 | 0.84 | 96 | 17 | 36 | 6 | 190 |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies | SP | 4.06 | 0.92 | 87 | 18 | 51 | 8 | 222 |
| Cam Schlittler | New York Yankees | SP | 4.28 | 0.98 | 87 | 18 | 56 | 8 | 225 |
| Tarik Skubal | Detroit Tigers | SP | 4.13 | 0.91 | 85 | 11 | 55 | 8 | 217 |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates | SP | 4.21 | 0.98 | 84 | 16 | 55 | 6 | 215 |
| Ian Seymour | Tampa Bay Rays | RP | 5.03 | 1.17 | 82 | 26 | 57 | 9 | 211 |
| MacKenzie Gore | Texas Rangers | SP | 5.58 | 1.33 | 79 | 28 | 67 | 8 | 214 |
| Joey Cantillo | Cleveland Guardians | SP | 5.60 | 1.36 | 79 | 36 | 67 | 9 | 226 |
| Logan Gilbert | Seattle Mariners | SP | 4.40 | 0.97 | 79 | 16 | 57 | 10 | 223 |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies | SP | 4.98 | 1.16 | 77 | 14 | 67 | 6 | 208 |
| Jacob deGrom | Texas Rangers | SP | 4.57 | 0.98 | 76 | 14 | 49 | 10 | 190 |
| Jesús Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies | SP | 5.12 | 1.22 | 73 | 19 | 55 | 5 | 181 |
| Sean Burke | Chicago White Sox | SP | 5.35 | 1.23 | 73 | 23 | 59 | 9 | 198 |
| Griffin Jax | Tampa Bay Rays | RP | 5.08 | 1.18 | 73 | 23 | 58 | 9 | 205 |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox | SP | 4.81 | 1.12 | 73 | 22 | 56 | 8 | 208 |
| Joe Ryan | Minnesota Twins | SP | 4.60 | 1.04 | 72 | 14 | 51 | 7 | 188 |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles | SP | 5.25 | 1.29 | 72 | 32 | 60 | 7 | 215 |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets | SP | 4.56 | 1.10 | 71 | 22 | 46 | 6 | 184 |
| Kevin Gausman | Toronto Blue Jays | SP | 5.13 | 1.18 | 71 | 20 | 63 | 9 | 210 |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates | SP | 4.91 | 1.13 | 70 | 16 | 54 | 7 | 185 |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | SP | 4.87 | 1.15 | 70 | 22 | 46 | 7 | 177 |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals | SP | 5.79 | 1.38 | 69 | 20 | 66 | 6 | 187 |
| Bryce Miller | Seattle Mariners | SP | 4.52 | 0.99 | 69 | 13 | 47 | 9 | 182 |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | SP | 6.11 | 1.35 | 68 | 20 | 70 | 12 | 201 |
| Foster Griffin | Washington Nationals | SP | 4.67 | 1.02 | 68 | 16 | 53 | 11 | 205 |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians | SP | 5.14 | 1.19 | 67 | 20 | 47 | 8 | 169 |
| Casey Mize | Detroit Tigers | SP | 5.12 | 1.19 | 67 | 16 | 62 | 6 | 197 |
| José Soriano | Los Angeles Angels | SP | 5.28 | 1.31 | 67 | 31 | 55 | 6 | 196 |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox | SP | 5.04 | 1.15 | 67 | 18 | 64 | 9 | 214 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers | SP | 4.97 | 1.09 | 66 | 14 | 55 | 9 | 190 |
| Eury Pérez | Miami Marlins | SP | 4.84 | 1.12 | 66 | 23 | 44 | 9 | 178 |
| J.T. Ginn | Athletics | SP | 5.56 | 1.31 | 66 | 31 | 63 | 10 | 214 |
| Reid Detmers | Los Angeles Angels | SP | 5.33 | 1.24 | 65 | 19 | 51 | 7 | 169 |
| Parker Messick | Cleveland Guardians | SP | 4.72 | 1.13 | 65 | 20 | 54 | 6 | 198 |
| Max Meyer | Miami Marlins | SP | 5.29 | 1.22 | 65 | 21 | 52 | 8 | 179 |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants | SP | 5.47 | 1.37 | 65 | 26 | 55 | 5 | 180 |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees | SP | 6.00 | 1.38 | 64 | 23 | 67 | 9 | 194 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Los Angeles Dodgers | SP | 4.11 | 0.95 | 64 | 16 | 46 | 6 | 194 |
| Bubba Chandler | Pittsburgh Pirates | SP | 5.58 | 1.40 | 64 | 39 | 62 | 7 | 215 |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | SP | 4.53 | 1.08 | 62 | 13 | 43 | 4 | 157 |
| Robbie Ray | San Francisco Giants | SP | 5.25 | 1.26 | 62 | 34 | 56 | 10 | 214 |
| Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies | SP | 6.80 | 1.48 | 62 | 15 | 91 | 13 | 214 |
| Matthew Boyd | Chicago Cubs | SP | 5.03 | 1.17 | 61 | 17 | 57 | 7 | 188 |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox | SP | 4.98 | 1.20 | 61 | 16 | 53 | 4 | 173 |
| Tanner Bibee | Cleveland Guardians | SP | 5.27 | 1.17 | 60 | 23 | 66 | 12 | 226 |
| Shota Imanaga | Chicago Cubs | SP | 5.15 | 1.08 | 59 | 14 | 53 | 12 | 186 |
| Kyle Harrison | Milwaukee Brewers | SP | 5.20 | 1.18 | 57 | 13 | 43 | 6 | 142 |
| Jack Perkins | Athletics | RP | 5.85 | 1.36 | 56 | 19 | 44 | 7 | 140 |
| Shane Drohan | Milwaukee Brewers | SP | 5.05 | 1.20 | 56 | 17 | 54 | 5 | 177 |
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals | RP | 5.31 | 1.37 | 56 | 24 | 49 | 2 | 159 |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals | SP | 5.19 | 1.21 | 56 | 20 | 64 | 7 | 207 |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals | SP | 5.69 | 1.31 | 56 | 22 | 69 | 9 | 207 |
| Zebby Matthews | Minnesota Twins | SP | 6.33 | 1.37 | 56 | 18 | 69 | 13 | 191 |
| Christian Scott | New York Mets | SP | 5.51 | 1.30 | 56 | 21 | 42 | 7 | 144 |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | SP | 5.32 | 1.23 | 55 | 19 | 69 | 8 | 213 |
| Shane Baz | Baltimore Orioles | SP | 5.54 | 1.33 | 55 | 23 | 59 | 7 | 185 |
| Matthew Liberatore | St. Louis Cardinals | SP | 6.17 | 1.41 | 55 | 22 | 63 | 9 | 180 |
| Logan Webb | San Francisco Giants | SP | 5.04 | 1.20 | 54 | 17 | 62 | 5 | 197 |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds | SP | 5.77 | 1.35 | 54 | 29 | 63 | 10 | 204 |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros | SP | 5.30 | 1.26 | 53 | 23 | 48 | 7 | 168 |
| Freddy Peralta | New York Mets | SP | 5.49 | 1.29 | 53 | 22 | 48 | 8 | 164 |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds | SP | 6.02 | 1.35 | 53 | 21 | 65 | 11 | 190 |
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox | SP | 4.04 | 0.94 | 53 | 12 | 56 | 5 | 217 |
| Jared Jones | Pittsburgh Pirates | SP | 5.17 | 1.17 | 53 | 15 | 41 | 7 | 142 |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres | SP | 4.91 | 1.19 | 52 | 23 | 47 | 6 | 177 |
| Emmet Sheehan | Los Angeles Dodgers | SP | 5.14 | 1.15 | 52 | 14 | 39 | 7 | 140 |
| Tatsuya Imai | Houston Astros | SP | 6.20 | 1.50 | 52 | 27 | 37 | 7 | 129 |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | SP | 5.62 | 1.29 | 51 | 18 | 55 | 8 | 169 |
| Sean Manaea | New York Mets | SP | 5.28 | 1.21 | 51 | 17 | 47 | 7 | 159 |
| Robert Gasser | Milwaukee Brewers | SP | 5.68 | 1.24 | 51 | 15 | 57 | 10 | 174 |
| Emerson Hancock | Seattle Mariners | SP | 5.08 | 1.14 | 51 | 15 | 46 | 8 | 161 |
| Trey Yesavage | Toronto Blue Jays | SP | 4.64 | 1.19 | 51 | 29 | 37 | 5 | 165 |
| Troy Melton | Detroit Tigers | SP | 4.00 | 0.87 | 51 | 15 | 38 | 9 | 184 |
| Trevor Rogers | Baltimore Orioles | SP | 5.36 | 1.28 | 51 | 23 | 62 | 7 | 198 |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners | SP | 5.54 | 1.27 | 51 | 17 | 56 | 8 | 172 |
| Brandon Sproat | Milwaukee Brewers | SP | 5.77 | 1.35 | 51 | 23 | 43 | 8 | 145 |
| Framber Valdez | Detroit Tigers | SP | 5.15 | 1.24 | 51 | 21 | 58 | 6 | 190 |
| Tyler Mahle | San Francisco Giants | SP | 5.73 | 1.36 | 51 | 22 | 54 | 7 | 168 |
| Reynaldo López | Atlanta Braves | SP | 5.00 | 1.20 | 51 | 21 | 47 | 6 | 170 |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros | SP | 5.15 | 1.26 | 50 | 22 | 38 | 5 | 143 |
| Rhett Lowder | Cincinnati Reds | SP | 6.03 | 1.49 | 50 | 30 | 60 | 6 | 181 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Arizona Diamondbacks | SP | 5.62 | 1.32 | 50 | 25 | 65 | 9 | 203 |
| Trevor McDonald | San Francisco Giants | SP | 5.33 | 1.27 | 50 | 19 | 60 | 5 | 185 |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees | SP | 5.13 | 1.15 | 50 | 13 | 47 | 7 | 156 |
| Kumar Rocker | Texas Rangers | SP | 6.02 | 1.40 | 50 | 21 | 57 | 8 | 166 |
| Jack Flaherty | Detroit Tigers | SP | 5.49 | 1.31 | 50 | 19 | 39 | 6 | 132 |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres | SP | 6.37 | 1.47 | 50 | 22 | 58 | 9 | 164 |
| Walbert Ureña | Los Angeles Angels | SP | 4.99 | 1.32 | 49 | 29 | 39 | 3 | 154 |
| Drew Rasmussen | Tampa Bay Rays | SP | 4.34 | 0.97 | 49 | 9 | 39 | 6 | 151 |
| Gage Jump | Athletics | SP | 5.40 | 1.29 | 49 | 15 | 49 | 4 | 150 |
| George Kirby | Seattle Mariners | SP | 5.44 | 1.24 | 49 | 11 | 56 | 6 | 163 |
| Connor Prielipp | Minnesota Twins | SP | 5.77 | 1.36 | 49 | 17 | 45 | 6 | 137 |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros | SP | 5.75 | 1.38 | 49 | 25 | 42 | 7 | 145 |
| Ryan Weathers | New York Yankees | SP | 5.53 | 1.23 | 48 | 12 | 41 | 7 | 129 |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles | SP | 6.01 | 1.40 | 48 | 22 | 62 | 8 | 179 |
| Andre Pallante | St. Louis Cardinals | SP | 5.50 | 1.30 | 48 | 21 | 65 | 7 | 197 |
| Roki Sasaki | Los Angeles Dodgers | SP | 6.12 | 1.35 | 47 | 21 | 45 | 11 | 145 |
| Michael Lorenzen | Colorado Rockies | SP | 6.56 | 1.52 | 46 | 24 | 75 | 10 | 195 |
Projections are derived from Baseball Savant Statcast rates regressed to a 3-year prior, with a rest-of-season playing-time allocation from the projected-pace pipeline. See our methodology for the calibration details and sample-size filters.