MLB Player Projections

Source MLB Statcast rates · official MLB actualsFinal-conditioned snapshot September 25, 2026Preseason re-run Opening Day 2026Actuals 2026 regular season, finalForecasts resume Opening Day 2027

The 2026 regular season ended September 27. This page now answers two different questions. First: what did we project each player to do heading into the season? That is the preseason re-run below, rebuilt with zero 2026 results (2023-2025 priors only, Opening-Day rosters), and clearly labeled as a re-run because no preseason 2026 projection was published at the time. Second: what did we project by the final snapshot (September 25, 2026), one day before the last regular-season games, next to the stat line each player actually finished with? The final-conditioned tables blend season-to-date totals with a one-game remainder, so projected and actual counting stats land close together there; the preseason columns are the fair test of the model. New forecasts start on Opening Day 2027.

Hitters: final-conditioned 2026 projection vs actualSorted by projected full-season home runs

Top projected MLB hitters, ranked by projected full-season home runs, with each player's actual 2026 regular-season home runs, RBI, steals and batting average.
#	Player	Proj HR	Actual HR	Proj RBI	Actual RBI	Proj SB	Actual SB	Proj AVG	Actual AVG
1	Kyle Schwarber	45	45	96	97	3	3	0.232	0.232
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong	45	45	112	107	41	41	0.280	0.280
3	Junior Caminero	42	42	108	101	3	3	0.276	0.276
4	Pete Alonso	43	43	105	113	5	5	0.267	0.267
5	Juan Soto	27	27	72	68	9	9	0.275	0.275
6	Munetaka Murakami	35	35	71	77	1	1	0.207	0.207
7	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	11	11	32	39	1	1	0.277	0.277
8	Coby Mayo	24	24	60	63	4	4	0.228	0.228
9	Alec Burleson	26	26	97	116	4	4	0.279	0.279
10	Nolan Arenado	30	30	83	86	4	4	0.255	0.255
11	Randy Arozarena	26	26	94	79	26	26	0.281	0.281
12	CJ Abrams	33	33	92	106	34	34	0.261	0.261
13	Jackson Merrill	26	26	89	87	27	27	0.254	0.254
14	Ketel Marte	22	22	80	76	4	4	0.249	0.249
15	Isaac Paredes	25	25	87	94	0	0	0.261	0.262
16	Matt Olson	41	41	100	93	4	4	0.251	0.251
17	Elly De La Cruz	30	30	95	79	30	30	0.283	0.283
18	Brandon Lowe	35	35	95	96	2	2	0.261	0.260
19	James Wood	30	30	88	77	21	21	0.265	0.265
20	Miguel Vargas	33	33	95	93	22	22	0.250	0.250
21	Mike Trout	22	22	79	54	11	11	0.242	0.242
22	Jo Adell	23	23	81	94	5	5	0.240	0.240
23	Manny Machado	30	30	82	91	5	5	0.217	0.217
24	JJ Bleday	24	24	66	58	6	6	0.217	0.217
25	Yordan Alvarez	42	42	114	106	1	1	0.316	0.316
26	Bryce Harper	29	29	96	87	7	7	0.269	0.269
27	Corey Seager	20	20	55	51	2	2	0.227	0.227
28	Zach Neto	27	27	88	77	24	24	0.239	0.239
29	Oneil Cruz	20	20	63	67	30	30	0.280	0.280
30	Brooks Lee	24	24	84	83	8	8	0.253	0.253
31	Jake Burger	28	28	78	90	4	4	0.229	0.228
32	Ben Rice	41	41	100	97	3	3	0.263	0.264
33	Francisco Lindor	21	21	58	49	3	3	0.225	0.225
34	Jackson Chourio	25	25	87	75	23	23	0.291	0.291
35	Kyle Stowers	21	21	65	65	1	1	0.239	0.239
36	Christian Walker	29	29	79	87	0	0	0.226	0.226
37	Griffin Conine	19	19	48	43	4	4	0.264	0.264
38	Wyatt Langford	17	17	59	44	15	15	0.238	0.238
39	Seiya Suzuki	26	26	89	86	3	3	0.270	0.270
40	Hunter Goodman	41	41	84	88	5	5	0.245	0.245
41	Jordan Walker	29	29	95	102	22	22	0.269	0.269
42	Mookie Betts	23	23	73	69	2	2	0.257	0.257
43	Michael Harris II	26	26	96	87	12	12	0.294	0.294
44	Fernando Tatis Jr.	25	25	102	83	38	38	0.289	0.289
45	Cal Raleigh	23	23	57	69	2	2	0.182	0.182
46	Jake Bauers	26	26	81	86	11	11	0.266	0.266
47	Drake Baldwin	25	25	90	79	3	3	0.284	0.284
48	Kody Clemens	27	27	76	81	10	10	0.239	0.239
49	Dominic Canzone	23	23	74	77	2	2	0.264	0.264
50	Eugenio Suárez	26	26	61	74	1	1	0.212	0.212
51	Max Muncy	29	29	78	76	3	3	0.252	0.252
52	Zack Gelof	22	22	61	55	16	16	0.256	0.256
53	Rafael Flores Jr.	11	11	25	25	0	0	0.264	0.264
54	Ronald Acuña Jr.	20	20	64	55	21	21	0.255	0.255
55	Colson Montgomery	31	31	73	87	1	1	0.197	0.197
56	Heriberto Hernández	25	25	65	67	13	13	0.228	0.228
57	Victor Mesa Jr.	14	14	37	34	9	9	0.259	0.260
58	Sal Stewart	32	32	98	112	15	15	0.263	0.263
59	Jeremy Peña	22	22	70	56	12	12	0.277	0.277
60	Carter Jensen	27	27	79	81	2	2	0.239	0.239
61	Luis García Jr.	30	30	84	92	5	5	0.277	0.277
62	Kazuma Okamoto	33	33	84	92	1	1	0.232	0.232
63	Leo Bernal	5	5	16	21	0	0	0.285	0.284
64	Yohandy Morales	4	4	8	10	1	1	0.256	0.255
65	Alec Bohm	15	15	77	88	2	2	0.249	0.249
66	Xander Bogaerts	13	13	69	57	22	22	0.231	0.231
67	Tyler Stephenson	15	15	58	54	0	0	0.241	0.241
68	Brice Turang	21	21	91	100	19	19	0.268	0.268
69	Christian Yelich	12	12	58	59	11	11	0.235	0.235
70	Jonah Heim	13	13	43	43	0	0	0.204	0.204
71	Austin Riley	19	19	71	72	9	9	0.219	0.219
72	Royce Lewis	15	15	59	57	16	16	0.227	0.227
73	Ian Happ	24	24	75	68	4	4	0.218	0.218
74	Gunnar Henderson	24	24	83	59	10	10	0.225	0.225
75	Patrick Bailey	10	10	37	37	3	3	0.206	0.206
76	Dylan Crews	13	13	51	44	12	12	0.223	0.223
77	Corbin Carroll	22	22	82	78	21	21	0.239	0.239
78	George Springer	15	15	65	54	12	12	0.249	0.249
79	Nick Sogard	5	5	33	19	1	1	0.255	0.255
80	Bobby Witt Jr.	18	18	87	54	45	45	0.281	0.281
81	Lawrence Butler	17	17	66	62	10	10	0.237	0.237
82	Josh Jung	12	12	64	42	1	1	0.299	0.299
83	Daulton Varsho	12	12	59	40	12	12	0.221	0.221
84	Richie Palacios	10	10	46	57	17	17	0.235	0.235
85	Dillon Dingler	27	27	79	91	0	0	0.243	0.243
86	Joc Pederson	26	26	59	53	2	2	0.235	0.235
87	Connor Norby	7	7	44	34	10	10	0.243	0.243
88	Bryson Stott	10	10	73	67	27	27	0.256	0.256
89	Jeff McNeil	9	9	65	59	8	8	0.263	0.264
90	Shea Langeliers	23	23	66	58	3	3	0.262	0.262
91	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	9	9	75	57	7	7	0.260	0.260
92	Joey Ortiz	9	9	54	47	9	9	0.269	0.270
93	Francisco Alvarez	16	16	52	43	0	0	0.233	0.233
94	Otto Lopez	11	11	97	71	34	34	0.305	0.305
95	Mark Vientos	13	13	35	41	0	0	0.212	0.212
96	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	19	19	65	55	41	41	0.232	0.231
97	Adael Amador	4	4	13	16	0	0	0.276	0.277
98	Brayan Rocchio	15	15	73	73	20	20	0.253	0.253
99	Keibert Ruiz	10	10	49	48	2	2	0.280	0.280
100	Lars Nootbaar	8	8	40	33	2	2	0.239	0.239

Pitchers: final-conditioned 2026 projection vs actualSorted by projected full-season strikeouts

Top projected MLB pitchers, ranked by projected full-season strikeouts, with each pitcher's actual 2026 strikeouts, innings, WHIP and ERA next to its projected ERA.
#	Player	Role	Proj K	Actual K	Proj IP	Actual IP	Proj WHIP	Actual WHIP	Proj ERA	Actual ERA
1	Cam Schlittler	SP	241	239	195	193.2	0.92	0.92	1.95	1.95
2	Jacob deGrom	SP	202	201	164	162.2	1.14	1.14	4.19	4.20
3	Gavin Williams	SP	249	248	185	184.1	1.11	1.11	3.76	3.76
4	Tarik Skubal	SP	187	186	160	158.2	0.96	0.96	2.72	2.72
5	Tyler Glasnow	SP	99	98	75	74.0	0.94	0.95	3.52	3.53
6	Zack Wheeler	SP	187	193	157	162.0	1.05	1.05	3.00	3.00
7	Reid Detmers	SP	212	211	186	185.0	1.04	1.04	3.36	3.36
8	Taj Bradley	SP	206	205	179	178.1	1.22	1.22	3.73	3.73
9	Cristopher Sánchez	SP	232	231	208	207.0	1.20	1.20	2.91	2.91
10	Will Warren	SP	159	158	157	156.0	1.37	1.37	3.93	3.92
11	Paul Skenes	SP	201	200	175	174.1	1.12	1.12	3.82	3.82
12	Aaron Nola	SP	178	177	177	175.1	1.35	1.35	4.67	4.67
13	Drew Rasmussen	SP	175	174	173	172.0	0.91	0.91	2.67	2.67
14	Trevor Rogers	SP	158	157	171	169.2	1.18	1.18	4.03	4.03
15	Logan Gilbert	SP	202	205	184	186.0	1.09	1.09	3.73	3.73
16	Bryan Woo	SP	176	175	174	173.0	1.10	1.10	4.01	4.01
17	Jack Perkins	RP	141	140	122	121.0	1.45	1.45	6.09	6.10
18	Ian Seymour	SP	159	158	133	132.2	1.13	1.13	4.21	4.21
19	Eury Pérez	SP	171	170	160	159.0	1.21	1.21	3.91	3.91
20	Carlos Rodón	SP	92	91	85	84.1	1.06	1.06	2.67	2.67
21	Ranger Suarez	SP	141	140	149	148.1	1.19	1.19	3.22	3.22
22	Parker Messick	SP	190	193	183	186.1	1.06	1.06	2.56	2.56
23	Andrew Alvarez	SP	115	114	114	112.2	1.30	1.30	3.43	3.43
24	Jared Jones	SP	120	123	99	101.2	1.08	1.08	3.71	3.72
25	Gerrit Cole	SP	132	131	128	127.0	1.10	1.10	3.61	3.61
26	Walbert Ureña	SP	143	142	149	148.1	1.23	1.23	2.97	2.97
27	Dylan Cease	SP	240	239	170	169.0	1.10	1.10	2.40	2.40
28	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	SP	183	182	186	185.0	0.87	0.87	2.53	2.53
29	Shota Imanaga	SP	174	174	174	174.1	1.10	1.10	3.77	3.77
30	Jackson Jobe	SP	52	51	47	46.0	1.18	1.17	3.91	3.91
31	Hunter Brown	SP	125	124	108	107.1	1.27	1.27	3.20	3.19
32	Matthew Liberatore	SP	155	154	156	155.0	1.47	1.47	5.23	5.23
33	Tyler Mahle	SP	138	137	150	149.0	1.23	1.23	3.99	3.99
34	Jacob Misiorowski	SP	245	252	170	174.2	0.80	0.80	1.80	1.80
35	José Soriano	SP	170	169	178	177.1	1.29	1.29	3.91	3.91
36	Payton Tolle	SP	172	171	150	148.2	1.10	1.10	3.03	3.03
37	Connor Prielipp	SP	129	128	127	125.2	1.29	1.29	4.86	4.87
38	Quinn Mathews	SP	47	46	50	49.1	1.38	1.38	3.84	3.83
39	Freddy Peralta	SP	157	156	170	169.0	1.33	1.33	4.42	4.42
40	Kevin Gausman	SP	185	184	179	177.2	1.27	1.27	4.51	4.51
41	Brandon Pfaadt	SP	95	94	137	136.0	1.18	1.18	3.77	3.77
42	Michael King	SP	160	159	186	185.0	1.18	1.18	3.21	3.21
43	Jake Irvin	SP	111	110	108	106.2	1.40	1.40	5.47	5.48
44	Sonny Gray	SP	150	149	170	169.0	1.15	1.15	2.73	2.72
45	Joey Cantillo	SP	172	171	160	159.0	1.42	1.42	3.62	3.62
46	Bryce Miller	SP	120	119	120	118.2	1.16	1.16	4.17	4.17
47	Michael Wacha	SP	159	158	202	200.2	1.11	1.11	3.32	3.32
48	Sean Burke	SP	186	185	173	172.1	1.20	1.20	3.34	3.34
49	Yusei Kikuchi	SP	63	67	64	67.2	1.53	1.54	4.92	4.92
50	Logan Henderson	SP	111	110	99	98.1	0.84	0.84	2.47	2.47
51	Mason Miller	CL	130	129	71	70.0	0.90	0.90	1.67	1.67
52	Zebby Matthews	SP	117	116	131	130.1	1.26	1.26	4.90	4.90
53	Robert Gasser	SP	104	103	110	109.1	1.18	1.19	3.87	3.87
54	Brandon Young	SP	134	133	158	156.2	1.35	1.35	3.57	3.56
55	Noah Cameron	SP	159	158	178	177.1	1.23	1.23	4.11	4.11
56	Nolan McLean	SP	195	194	181	179.2	1.17	1.17	3.16	3.16
57	Andrew Painter	SP	116	115	128	126.2	1.41	1.41	5.40	5.40
58	Drew Anderson	SP	115	114	109	108.0	1.28	1.27	3.67	3.67
59	Max Scherzer	SP	64	68	79	84.2	1.33	1.33	5.73	5.74
60	Peter Lambert	SP	153	154	155	155.2	1.25	1.25	3.82	3.82
61	Mason Adams	SP	32	31	30	29.0	1.48	1.48	4.06	4.03
62	Nick Lodolo	SP	84	83	110	108.2	1.48	1.48	4.96	4.97
63	David Peterson	SP	138	137	149	148.1	1.50	1.50	4.78	4.79
64	Tanner Bibee	SP	149	148	189	188.0	1.22	1.22	4.36	4.36
65	Chris Bassitt	SP	75	74	103	102.0	1.55	1.55	4.42	4.41
66	Chris Sale	SP	201	200	163	162.2	0.98	0.98	2.16	2.16
67	MacKenzie Gore	SP	173	174	172	173.0	1.34	1.34	4.58	4.58
68	Framber Valdez	SP	136	135	175	174.0	1.36	1.36	4.03	4.03
69	Matthew Boyd	SP	97	96	128	126.2	1.21	1.21	3.90	3.91
70	Max Fried	SP	105	104	114	112.2	1.00	0.99	2.80	2.80
71	Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	144	143	191	189.2	1.24	1.24	2.90	2.89
72	Shane Baz	SP	155	154	181	179.2	1.35	1.35	4.11	4.11
73	Nick Pivetta	SP	43	42	35	34.2	1.01	1.01	2.86	2.86
74	Cade Smith	CL	108	107	75	74.0	0.96	0.96	1.95	1.95
75	Hayden Wesneski	SP	47	46	62	61.0	1.13	1.13	3.26	3.25
76	Griffin Jax	RP	117	116	113	112.1	1.17	1.18	3.53	3.53
77	Dustin May	SP	145	144	146	145.2	1.32	1.32	4.70	4.70
78	Jacob Lopez	SP	113	112	124	123.1	1.49	1.49	5.47	5.47
79	Bubba Chandler	SP	141	140	155	154.0	1.40	1.40	4.50	4.50
80	Mason Montgomery	CL	105	105	68	68.2	1.03	1.03	2.88	2.88
81	George Kirby	SP	149	148	176	174.2	1.40	1.40	4.33	4.33
82	Ryan Johnson	SP	80	79	101	100.0	1.39	1.39	5.05	5.04
83	Cade Cavalli	SP	201	200	170	169.2	1.16	1.16	3.02	3.02
84	Jonah Tong	SP	35	34	31	30.2	1.24	1.24	3.82	3.82
85	Sean Manaea	SP	139	144	145	150.2	1.30	1.30	4.78	4.78
86	Grayson Rodriguez	SP	86	85	100	98.2	1.56	1.56	6.01	6.02
87	Patrick Sandoval	SP	69	73	66	70.1	1.68	1.68	5.12	5.12
88	Anthony Molina	RP	32	31	35	34.0	1.07	1.06	4.00	3.97
89	Hagen Smith	RP	42	41	29	28.0	0.96	0.96	1.30	1.29
90	Kade Anderson	SP	33	32	37	35.2	1.23	1.23	3.80	3.79
91	Joe Ryan	SP	160	159	145	144.2	1.16	1.16	3.79	3.79
92	Clay Holmes	SP	79	78	102	101.1	1.19	1.19	3.29	3.29
93	Casey Mize	SP	111	110	132	131.1	1.23	1.23	4.32	4.32
94	Kumar Rocker	SP	139	138	149	148.0	1.41	1.41	4.38	4.38
95	Ryan Feltner	SP	93	92	124	123.1	1.51	1.51	5.40	5.40
96	Robbie Ray	SP	141	140	166	165.2	1.35	1.35	3.59	3.59
97	Dean Kremer	SP	81	86	85	90.1	1.14	1.14	4.67	4.68
98	Jeffrey Springs	SP	113	112	144	142.2	1.46	1.46	6.17	6.18
99	Walker Buehler	SP	132	131	154	153.2	1.35	1.35	4.63	4.63
100	Ryan Gusto	SP	75	74	89	88.0	1.44	1.44	4.10	4.09

Hitters: preseason re-run vs actualSorted by preseason-projected home runs

Preseason-conditioned re-run projections for the same hitters, rebuilt after the season with zero 2026 results (2023-2025 priors only), next to the final-conditioned projection and the actual 2026 regular-season line.
#	Player	Pre PA	Pre HR	Final HR	Actual HR	Pre RBI	Actual RBI	Pre AVG	Actual AVG
1	Kyle Schwarber	667	44	45	45	91	97	0.228	0.232
2	Cal Raleigh	644	42	23	23	89	69	0.233	0.182
3	Junior Caminero	655	39	42	42	97	101	0.260	0.276
4	Pete Alonso	657	38	43	43	90	113	0.244	0.267
5	Juan Soto	664	37	27	27	99	68	0.275	0.275
6	Matt Olson	667	35	41	41	97	93	0.267	0.251
7	Colson Montgomery	451	33	31	31	66	87	0.239	0.197
8	Eugenio Suárez	627	32	26	26	82	74	0.238	0.212
9	Francisco Lindor	669	30	21	21	93	49	0.265	0.225
10	Jo Adell	535	30	23	23	69	94	0.222	0.240
11	Shea Langeliers	539	29	23	23	72	58	0.236	0.262
12	Ketel Marte	569	28	22	22	85	76	0.283	0.249
13	Manny Machado	633	28	30	30	91	91	0.270	0.217
14	Brandon Lowe	541	28	35	35	74	96	0.245	0.260
15	Corey Seager	503	28	20	20	79	51	0.294	0.227
16	James Wood	694	27	30	30	94	77	0.259	0.265
17	Hunter Goodman	516	26	41	41	71	88	0.248	0.245
18	Bobby Witt Jr.	649	26	18	18	99	54	0.301	0.281
19	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	547	26	19	19	75	55	0.250	0.231
20	Mike Trout	509	26	22	22	68	54	0.242	0.242
21	Sal Stewart	302	26	32	32	49	112	0.255	0.263
22	Pete Crow-Armstrong	679	26	45	45	84	107	0.240	0.280
23	Gunnar Henderson	629	26	24	24	88	59	0.271	0.225
24	Bryce Harper	580	26	29	29	84	87	0.280	0.269
25	Mookie Betts	618	26	23	23	90	69	0.284	0.257
26	Christian Walker	547	25	29	29	73	87	0.248	0.226
27	Jake Burger	473	25	28	28	65	90	0.247	0.228
28	Fernando Tatis Jr.	621	25	25	25	86	83	0.266	0.289
29	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	644	25	9	9	95	57	0.293	0.260
30	Seiya Suzuki^†	613	25	26	26	86	86	0.270	0.270
31	Corbin Carroll	622	25	22	22	83	78	0.258	0.239
32	Elly De La Cruz	735	24	30	30	96	79	0.255	0.283
33	Jackson Chourio^†	662	24	25	25	92	75	0.272	0.291
34	Francisco Alvarez	520	23	16	16	66	43	0.231	0.233
35	Yordan Alvarez	427	23	42	42	66	106	0.297	0.316
36	Randy Arozarena	652	23	26	26	79	79	0.237	0.281
37	Max Muncy	407	23	29	29	53	76	0.226	0.252
38	Ben Rice	483	23	41	41	62	97	0.234	0.264
39	Mark Vientos	489	23	13	13	64	41	0.242	0.212
40	Ronald Acuña Jr.	465	22	20	20	74	55	0.309	0.255
41	Jackson Merrill	601	22	26	26	86	87	0.280	0.254
42	Austin Riley	506	22	19	19	71	72	0.268	0.219
43	Lawrence Butler	567	22	17	17	73	62	0.242	0.237
44	Wyatt Langford	651	22	17	17	83	44	0.247	0.238
45	Isaac Paredes	512	22	25	25	66	94	0.246	0.262
46	Christian Yelich	585	22	12	12	83	59	0.279	0.235
47	Ian Happ	632	22	24	24	80	68	0.244	0.218
48	Zach Neto	554	22	27	27	71	77	0.247	0.239
49	Royce Lewis	446	20	15	15	61	57	0.253	0.227
50	George Springer	530	20	15	15	71	54	0.261	0.249
51	Michael Harris II	594	20	26	26	80	87	0.267	0.294
52	Daulton Varsho	457	19	12	12	56	40	0.221	0.221
53	Oneil Cruz	534	19	20	20	65	67	0.232	0.280
54	CJ Abrams	608	19	33	33	76	106	0.249	0.261
55	Kyle Stowers^†	451	18	21	21	60	65	0.253	0.239
56	Josh Jung	500	18	12	12	67	42	0.259	0.299
57	Drake Baldwin	423	18	25	25	61	79	0.274	0.284
58	Kody Clemens	412	18	27	27	50	81	0.218	0.239
59	Alec Burleson	550	17	26	26	74	116	0.271	0.279
60	JJ Bleday^†	496	17	24	24	59	58	0.224	0.217
61	Joc Pederson	419	17	26	26	52	53	0.235	0.235
62	Tyler Stephenson	493	16	15	15	62	54	0.246	0.241
63	Dominic Canzone	399	16	23	23	52	77	0.247	0.264
64	Jordan Walker	580	15	29	29	70	102	0.240	0.269
65	Luis García Jr.	540	15	30	30	72	92	0.267	0.277
66	Coby Mayo	464	15	24	24	50	63	0.201	0.228
67	Nolan Arenado	461	15	30	30	61	86	0.261	0.255
68	Lars Nootbaar^†	557	15	8	8	68	33	0.246	0.239
69	Alec Bohm	543	15	15	15	74	88	0.280	0.249
70	Jonah Heim	491	15	13	13	58	43	0.231	0.204
71	Dylan Crews^†	494	14	13	13	54	44	0.211	0.223
72	Connor Norby	427	14	7	7	54	34	0.245	0.243
73	Xander Bogaerts	556	14	13	13	73	57	0.272	0.231
74	Christian Encarnacion-Strand^†	322	14	11	11	40	39	0.233	0.277
75	Carter Jensen	310	14	27	27	48	81	0.300	0.239
76	Miguel Vargas	523	13	33	33	55	93	0.206	0.250
77	Jake Bauers	357	13	26	26	41	86	0.209	0.266
78	Jeremy Peña	568	13	22	22	75	56	0.276	0.277
79	Heriberto Hernández	382	13	25	25	51	67	0.266	0.228
80	Brooks Lee	482	13	24	24	57	83	0.232	0.253
81	Bryson Stott	569	13	10	10	72	67	0.262	0.256
82	Zack Gelof^†	352	12	22	22	42	55	0.225	0.256
83	Keibert Ruiz	451	11	10	10	55	48	0.246	0.280
84	Dillon Dingler	443	11	27	27	57	91	0.260	0.243
85	Brice Turang	614	11	21	21	75	100	0.257	0.268
86	Jeff McNeil	511	11	9	9	62	59	0.253	0.264
87	Otto Lopez	540	11	11	11	67	71	0.257	0.305
88	Joey Ortiz	506	9	9	9	56	47	0.233	0.270
89	Patrick Bailey	488	8	10	10	54	37	0.230	0.206
90	Griffin Conine	277	8	19	19	36	43	0.261	0.264
91	Victor Mesa Jr.^†	289	8	14	14	29	34	0.188	0.260
92	Richie Palacios	287	7	10	10	34	57	0.243	0.235
93	Brayan Rocchio	484	7	15	15	50	73	0.222	0.253
94	Adael Amador^†	353	2	4	4	29	16	0.176	0.277
95	Rafael Flores Jr.^†	229	0	11	11	21	25	0.200	0.264
96	Nick Sogard^†	287	0	5	5	33	19	0.266	0.255

Pitchers: preseason re-run vs actualSorted by preseason-projected strikeouts

Preseason-conditioned re-run projections for the same pitchers, rebuilt after the season with zero 2026 results (2023-2025 priors only), next to the final-conditioned projection and the actual 2026 regular-season line.
#	Player	Pre IP	Pre K	Actual K	Final K	Pre ERA	Actual ERA	Pre WHIP	Actual WHIP
1	Tarik Skubal	196	239	186	187	2.26	2.72	0.90	0.96
2	Paul Skenes	185	222	200	201	2.25	3.82	0.95	1.12
3	Dylan Cease	177	216	239	240	3.75	2.40	1.27	1.10
4	Freddy Peralta	181	215	156	157	3.51	4.42	1.14	1.33
5	Nick Pivetta^†	182	211	42	43	3.46	2.86	1.07	1.01
6	Carlos Rodón^†	194	206	91	92	3.83	2.67	1.18	1.06
7	Hunter Brown	187	206	124	125	3.69	3.19	1.21	1.27
8	Kevin Gausman	193	203	184	185	3.41	4.51	1.15	1.27
9	Sonny Gray	183	202	149	150	3.45	2.72	1.16	1.15
10	Joe Ryan	173	199	159	160	3.65	3.79	1.07	1.16
11	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	171	198	182	183	2.62	2.53	1.03	0.87
12	Yusei Kikuchi	182	196	67	63	4.34	4.92	1.30	1.54
13	Zack Wheeler^†	165	192	193	187	2.82	3.00	0.99	1.05
14	Cristopher Sánchez	200	191	231	232	3.20	2.91	1.13	1.20
15	Max Fried	194	189	104	105	3.07	2.80	1.13	0.99
16	Framber Valdez	192	189	135	136	3.20	4.03	1.16	1.36
17	MacKenzie Gore	168	188	174	173	4.51	4.58	1.39	1.34
18	Jacob deGrom	162	185	201	202	2.72	4.20	0.91	1.14
19	Chris Sale	146	185	200	201	2.89	2.16	1.06	0.98
20	Robbie Ray	171	183	140	141	3.70	3.59	1.22	1.35
21	Tanner Bibee	185	182	148	149	3.66	4.36	1.17	1.22
22	Bryan Woo	183	181	175	176	3.02	4.01	0.98	1.10
23	Nick Lodolo^†	161	171	83	84	4.00	4.97	1.20	1.48
24	Brandon Pfaadt	182	171	94	95	4.63	3.77	1.31	1.18
25	Chris Bassitt	176	169	74	75	4.21	4.41	1.31	1.55
26	Gavin Williams	165	169	248	249	3.82	3.76	1.29	1.11
27	Will Warren	156	169	158	159	4.82	3.92	1.44	1.37
28	Logan Gilbert	153	167	205	202	3.13	3.73	0.99	1.09
29	Shane Baz	164	164	154	155	4.00	4.11	1.25	1.35
30	Taj Bradley	154	164	205	206	4.44	3.73	1.30	1.22
31	David Peterson	170	161	137	138	4.16	4.79	1.40	1.50
32	José Soriano	170	160	169	170	3.63	3.91	1.32	1.29
33	Matthew Boyd	170	160	96	97	3.52	3.91	1.15	1.21
34	Ranger Suarez	165	158	140	141	3.82	3.22	1.27	1.19
35	Dean Kremer^†	173	154	86	81	4.11	4.68	1.26	1.14
36	Clay Holmes	162	149	78	79	3.49	3.29	1.28	1.19
37	Michael Wacha	178	148	158	159	3.54	3.32	1.19	1.11
38	Tyler Glasnow	117	148	98	99	2.85	3.53	1.03	0.95
39	Jeffrey Springs	163	147	112	113	3.91	6.18	1.18	1.46
40	Grayson Rodriguez^†	134	145	85	86	4.15	6.02	1.29	1.56
41	Shota Imanaga	159	145	174	174	3.59	3.77	1.01	1.10
42	Jake Irvin	185	143	110	111	4.75	5.48	1.34	1.40
43	Eduardo Rodriguez	153	143	143	144	4.50	2.89	1.37	1.24
44	George Kirby	147	142	148	149	3.43	4.33	1.09	1.40
45	Drew Rasmussen	148	138	174	175	2.82	2.67	1.03	0.91
46	Mason Miller	90	138	129	130	2.15	1.67	0.96	0.90
47	Cade Smith	99	138	107	108	1.99	1.95	0.95	0.96
48	Sean Burke	136	137	185	186	4.67	3.34	1.39	1.20
49	Jared Jones^†	125	136	123	120	3.88	3.72	1.19	1.08
50	Gerrit Cole^†	127	135	131	132	2.87	3.61	1.03	1.10
51	Casey Mize	155	133	110	111	4.49	4.32	1.35	1.23
52	Eury Pérez	116	132	170	171	3.37	3.91	1.09	1.21
53	Aaron Nola	126	128	177	178	4.20	4.67	1.21	1.35
54	Matthew Liberatore	155	126	154	155	4.24	5.23	1.33	1.47
55	Joey Cantillo	111	126	171	172	3.82	3.62	1.27	1.42
56	Michael King	109	125	159	160	3.48	3.21	1.18	1.18
57	Griffin Jax	93	121	116	117	3.00	3.53	1.11	1.18
58	Dustin May	137	120	144	145	3.98	4.70	1.29	1.32
59	Jacob Lopez	106	118	112	113	4.08	5.47	1.27	1.49
60	Jacob Misiorowski	86	114	252	245	3.61	1.80	1.23	0.80
61	Noah Cameron	137	113	158	159	3.34	4.11	1.10	1.23
62	Trevor Rogers	129	112	157	158	3.60	4.03	1.26	1.18
63	Reid Detmers	93	111	211	212	4.63	3.36	1.40	1.04
64	Zebby Matthews^†	99	111	116	117	5.85	4.90	1.54	1.26
65	Bryce Miller^†	121	110	119	120	3.62	4.17	1.13	1.16
66	Max Scherzer	104	109	68	64	4.26	5.74	1.18	1.33
67	Sean Manaea	101	108	144	139	3.61	4.78	1.16	1.30
68	Ryan Gusto^†	111	106	74	75	5.24	4.09	1.48	1.44
69	Walker Buehler	136	105	131	132	5.51	4.63	1.52	1.35
70	Mason Montgomery	73	105	105	105	4.78	2.88	1.56	1.03
71	Cam Schlittler	91	105	239	241	3.52	1.95	1.22	0.92
72	Patrick Sandoval^†	110	103	73	69	4.53	5.12	1.51	1.68
73	Ian Seymour	80	90	158	159	3.28	4.21	1.18	1.13
74	Nolan McLean	74	87	194	195	2.66	3.16	1.04	1.17
75	Tyler Mahle	102	85	137	138	3.19	3.99	1.14	1.23
76	Kumar Rocker	86	79	138	139	5.11	4.38	1.47	1.41
77	Logan Henderson^†	58	75	110	111	2.74	2.47	0.99	0.84
78	Peter Lambert^†	92	75	154	153	5.31	3.82	1.50	1.25
79	Ryan Feltner	77	66	92	93	4.46	5.40	1.42	1.51
80	Brandon Young^†	80	66	133	134	5.84	3.56	1.54	1.35
81	Hayden Wesneski^†	69	66	46	47	4.41	3.25	1.20	1.13
82	Parker Messick	68	65	193	190	4.27	2.56	1.31	1.06
83	Jack Perkins^†	67	64	140	141	3.16	6.10	1.16	1.45
84	Jonah Tong^†	53	63	34	35	6.27	3.82	1.77	1.24
85	Bubba Chandler	62	61	140	141	2.30	4.50	0.93	1.40
86	Cade Cavalli	74	61	200	201	5.13	3.02	1.48	1.16
87	Payton Tolle^†	51	60	171	172	6.72	3.03	1.59	1.10
88	Jackson Jobe^†	75	58	51	52	4.41	3.91	1.42	1.17
89	Ryan Johnson	50	55	79	80	8.36	5.04	1.98	1.39
90	Anthony Molina^†	70	48	31	32	6.03	3.97	1.61	1.06
91	Andrew Alvarez^†	56	48	114	115	2.49	3.43	1.11	1.30
92	Robert Gasser^†	47	29	103	104	3.37	3.87	1.13	1.19

About the preseason re-run: Reconstructed after the 2026 season with zero 2026 results (2023-2025 priors only, Opening-Day rosters). No preseason 2026 projection was published at the time; this is an honest re-run, not a historical artifact. Rates come from the same regressed multi-year prior the production engine uses, with the 2026 sample at zero, and playing time from the engine's preseason playing-time prior (prior-season workload with age adjustment). 35 of the 188 listed players (dagger marker) were not on an Opening-Day 2026 roster, so their preseason line assumes a major-league role they had not yet earned. 12 of the final top-100 lists had no 2023-2025 MLB data (for example the rookies Munetaka Murakami and Andrew Painter) and have no preseason line at all; their absence is the honest answer, not a data gap.

Where the preseason projection and the actual season disagree sharply, the miss is the story: playing time is the hardest input (a reliever who becomes a 190-inning ace, an injury that costs a third of a season) and rate models cannot see either one coming. We surface the disagreement rather than shading it. See our methodology for the calibration details.

Projections are derived from MLB Statcast rates regressed to a 3-year prior, with a playing-time allocation from the projected-pace pipeline. Actual stats are the final 2026 regular-season lines from official MLB stats (postseason excluded). See our methodology for the calibration details and sample-size filters. Team-level forecasts are on the team win-total projections page, and the 2026 postseason engine report lives at /postseason.

MLB Player Projections

Player

Team

Proj HR

Actual HR

Proj RBI

Actual RBI

Proj SB

Actual SB

Proj AVG

Actual AVG

Kyle Schwarber

0.232

Pete Crow-Armstrong

112

107

0.280

Junior Caminero

108

101

0.276

Pete Alonso

105

113

0.267

Juan Soto

0.275

Munetaka Murakami

0.207

Christian Encarnacion-Strand

0.277

Coby Mayo

0.228

Alec Burleson

116

0.279

Nolan Arenado

0.255

Randy Arozarena

0.281

CJ Abrams

106

0.261

Jackson Merrill

0.254

Ketel Marte

0.249

Isaac Paredes

0.261

0.262

Matt Olson

100

0.251

Elly De La Cruz

0.283

Brandon Lowe

0.261

0.260

0.265

0.250

0.242

0.240

0.217

0.217

114

106

0.316

0.269

0.227

0.239

0.280

0.253

0.229

0.228

Ben Rice

100

0.263

0.264

0.225

0.291

0.239

0.226

0.264

0.238

0.270

0.245

102

0.269

Mookie Betts

0.257

Michael Harris II

0.294

Fernando Tatis Jr.

102

0.289

0.182

0.266

0.284

0.239

0.264

0.212

0.252

0.256

0.264

0.255

0.197

0.228

0.259

0.260

Sal Stewart

112

0.263

0.277

0.239

0.277

0.232

0.285

0.284

Yohandy Morales

0.256

0.255

0.249

0.231

0.241

100

0.268

0.235

0.204

0.219

0.227

0.218

0.225

0.206

0.223

0.239

0.249

0.255

0.281

0.237

0.299

0.221

0.235

0.243

0.235

0.243

0.256

0.263

0.264

Shea Langeliers

0.262

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

0.260

Joey Ortiz

0.269

0.270

0.233

0.305

0.212

0.232

0.231

Adael Amador

0.276

0.277

Brayan Rocchio

0.253

Keibert Ruiz

0.280

100

Lars Nootbaar

0.239

Player

Team

Role

Proj K

Actual K

Proj IP

Actual IP

Proj WHIP

Actual WHIP

Proj ERA

Actual ERA

Cam Schlittler

241

239

195

193.2

0.92

1.95

Jacob deGrom

202

201

164

162.2

1.14

4.19

4.20

Gavin Williams

249

248

185

184.1

1.11

3.76

Tarik Skubal

187

186

160

158.2

0.96

2.72

Tyler Glasnow

74.0

0.94

0.95

3.52

3.53

Zack Wheeler

187

193

157

162.0

1.05

3.00

Reid Detmers

212

211

186

185.0

1.04

3.36

Taj Bradley

206

205

179

178.1

1.22

3.73

Cristopher Sánchez

232

231

208

207.0

1.20

2.91

Will Warren

159

158

157

156.0

1.37

3.93

3.92

Paul Skenes

201

200

175

174.1

1.12

3.82

Aaron Nola

178

177

175.1

1.35

4.67

Drew Rasmussen

175

174

173

172.0

0.91

2.67

Trevor Rogers

158

157

171

169.2

1.18

4.03

Logan Gilbert

202

205

184

186.0

1.09

3.73

Bryan Woo

176

175

174

173.0

1.10

4.01

Jack Perkins

141

140

122

121.0

1.45

6.09

6.10

Ian Seymour

159

158

133

132.2

1.13

4.21

Eury Pérez

171

170

160

159.0

1.21

3.91

Carlos Rodón

84.1

1.06

2.67

Ranger Suarez

141

140

149

148.1

1.19

3.22

Parker Messick

190

193

183

186.1

1.06

2.56

Andrew Alvarez

115

114

112.2

1.30

3.43

Jared Jones

120

123

101.2

1.08

3.71

3.72

Gerrit Cole

132

131

128

127.0

1.10

3.61

Walbert Ureña

143

142

149

148.1

1.23

2.97

Dylan Cease

240

239

170

169.0

1.10

2.40

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

183

182

186

185.0

0.87

2.53

Shota Imanaga

174

174.1

1.10

3.77

Jackson Jobe

46.0

1.18

1.17

3.91

Hunter Brown

125

124

108

107.1

1.27

3.20

3.19

Matthew Liberatore

155

154

156

155.0

1.47

5.23

Tyler Mahle

138

137

150

149.0

1.23

3.99

Jacob Misiorowski

245

252

170

174.2

0.80

1.80

José Soriano

170

169

178

177.1

1.29

3.91

Payton Tolle

172

171

150

148.2

1.10

3.03

Connor Prielipp

129

128

127

125.2

1.29

4.86

4.87

Quinn Mathews

49.1

1.38

3.84

3.83

Freddy Peralta

157

156

170

169.0

1.33

4.42

Kevin Gausman

185

184

179

177.2

1.27

4.51

Brandon Pfaadt

137

136.0

1.18

3.77

Michael King

160

159

186

185.0

1.18

3.21

Jake Irvin

111

110

108

106.2

1.40

5.47

5.48

Sonny Gray

150

149

170

169.0

1.15

2.73

2.72

Joey Cantillo

172

171

160

159.0

1.42

3.62

Bryce Miller

120

119

120

118.2

1.16

4.17

Michael Wacha

159

158

202

200.2

1.11

3.32

Sean Burke

186

185

173

172.1

1.20

3.34

Yusei Kikuchi

67.2

1.53

1.54

4.92

Logan Henderson

111

110

98.1

0.84

2.47

Mason Miller

130

129

70.0

0.90

1.67

Zebby Matthews

117

116

131

130.1

1.26

4.90

Robert Gasser

104

103

110

109.1

1.18

1.19

3.87

Brandon Young

134

133

158

156.2

1.35

3.57

3.56

Noah Cameron

159

158

178

177.1

1.23

4.11

Nolan McLean

195

194

181

179.2

1.17

3.16

Andrew Painter

116

115

128

126.2

1.41

5.40

Drew Anderson

115

114

109

108.0

1.28

1.27

3.67

Max Scherzer

84.2

1.33

5.73

5.74

Peter Lambert

153

154

155

155.2

1.25

3.82

Mason Adams

29.0

1.48

4.06

4.03

Nick Lodolo

110

108.2

1.48

4.96

4.97

David Peterson

138

137

149

148.1

1.50

4.78

4.79

Tanner Bibee

149

148

189

188.0

1.22

4.36

Chris Bassitt

103

102.0

1.55

4.42

4.41

Chris Sale

201

200

163

162.2

0.98

2.16

MacKenzie Gore

173

174

172

173.0

1.34

4.58

Framber Valdez

136

135

175

174.0

1.36

4.03

Matthew Boyd

128

126.2

1.21

3.90

3.91

Max Fried

105

104

114

112.2

1.00

0.99

2.80

Eduardo Rodriguez

144

143

191

189.2

1.24

2.90

2.89

Shane Baz

155

154

181

179.2

1.35

4.11

Nick Pivetta

34.2

1.01

2.86

Cade Smith

108

107

74.0

0.96

1.95

Hayden Wesneski

61.0

1.13

3.26

3.25

Griffin Jax

117

116

113

112.1

1.17

1.18

3.53

Dustin May

145

144

146

145.2

1.32

4.70

Jacob Lopez

113

112

124

123.1

1.49

5.47

Bubba Chandler

141

140

155

154.0

1.40

4.50

Mason Montgomery

105

68.2

1.03

2.88

George Kirby

149

148

176

174.2

1.40

4.33

Ryan Johnson

101

100.0

1.39

5.05

5.04

Cade Cavalli

201

200

170

169.2

1.16

3.02

Jonah Tong

30.2

1.24

3.82

Sean Manaea

139

144

145

150.2

1.30

4.78

Grayson Rodriguez

100

98.2

1.56

6.01

6.02

Patrick Sandoval

70.1

1.68

5.12

Anthony Molina

34.0

1.07

1.06

4.00

3.97

Hagen Smith

28.0

0.96

1.30

1.29

Kade Anderson

35.2

1.23

3.80

3.79

Joe Ryan

160

159

145

144.2

1.16

3.79

Clay Holmes

102

101.1

1.19

3.29

Casey Mize

111

110

132

131.1

1.23

4.32

Kumar Rocker

139

138

149

148.0

1.41

4.38

Ryan Feltner

124

123.1

1.51

5.40

Robbie Ray

141

140

166

165.2

1.35

3.59

Dean Kremer

90.1

1.14

4.67

4.68

Jeffrey Springs

113

112

144

142.2

1.46

6.17

6.18

Walker Buehler

132

131

154

153.2

1.35

4.63

100

Ryan Gusto

88.0

1.44

4.10

4.09

Player

Team

Pre PA

Pre HR

Final HR

Actual HR

Pre RBI

Actual RBI

Pre AVG

Actual AVG

Kyle Schwarber

667

0.228

0.232

Cal Raleigh

644

0.233

0.182

Junior Caminero

655

101

0.260

0.276

Pete Alonso

657

113

0.244

0.267

Juan Soto

664

0.275

Matt Olson

667

0.267

0.251

Colson Montgomery

451

0.239

0.197

Eugenio Suárez

627

0.238

0.212

Francisco Lindor

669

0.265

0.225

Jo Adell

535

0.222

0.240

Shea Langeliers

539

0.236

0.262

Ketel Marte

569

0.283

0.249

Manny Machado

633

0.270

0.217

Brandon Lowe

541

0.245

0.260

Corey Seager

503

0.294

0.227

James Wood

694

0.259

0.265

Hunter Goodman

516

0.248

0.245

Bobby Witt Jr.

649

0.301

0.281

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

547

0.250

0.231

Mike Trout

509

0.242

Sal Stewart

302

112

0.255

0.263

Pete Crow-Armstrong

679

107

0.240

0.280

Gunnar Henderson

629

0.271

0.225

Bryce Harper

580

0.280

0.269

Mookie Betts

618

0.284

0.257

Christian Walker

547

0.248

0.226

Jake Burger

473

0.247

0.228

Fernando Tatis Jr.

621

0.266

0.289

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

644

0.293

0.260

Seiya Suzuki^†

613

0.270

Corbin Carroll

622

0.258

0.239

Elly De La Cruz

735

0.255

0.283

Jackson Chourio^†

662

0.272

0.291

Francisco Alvarez

520

0.231

0.233

Yordan Alvarez

427

106

0.297

0.316

Randy Arozarena

652

0.237

0.281

Max Muncy

407

0.226

0.252

Ben Rice

483

0.234

0.264

Mark Vientos

489

0.242

0.212

Ronald Acuña Jr.

465

0.309

0.255

Jackson Merrill

601

0.280

0.254

Austin Riley

506

0.268

0.219

Lawrence Butler

567

0.242

0.237

Wyatt Langford

651

0.247

0.238

Isaac Paredes

512

0.246

0.262

Christian Yelich

585

0.279

0.235

Ian Happ

632

0.244

0.218

Zach Neto

554

0.247

0.239

Royce Lewis

446

0.253

0.227

George Springer

530

0.261

0.249

Michael Harris II

594

0.267

0.294

Daulton Varsho

457

0.221

Oneil Cruz

534

0.232

0.280

CJ Abrams

608

106

0.249

0.261

Kyle Stowers^†

451

0.253

0.239

Josh Jung

500

0.259

0.299

Drake Baldwin

423

0.274

0.284

Kody Clemens

412

0.218

0.239

Alec Burleson

550

116

0.271

0.279

JJ Bleday^†

496

0.224

0.217

Joc Pederson

419

0.235

Tyler Stephenson

493

0.246

0.241

Dominic Canzone

399

0.247

0.264

Jordan Walker

580

102

0.240

0.269

Luis García Jr.

540

0.267

0.277

Coby Mayo

464

0.201

0.228

Nolan Arenado

461

0.261

0.255

Lars Nootbaar^†

557

0.246

0.239

Alec Bohm

543

0.280

0.249

Jonah Heim

491

0.231

0.204

Dylan Crews^†

494

0.211

0.223

Connor Norby

427

0.245

0.243

Xander Bogaerts

556

0.272

0.231

Christian Encarnacion-Strand^†

322

0.233

0.277

Carter Jensen

310

0.300

0.239

Miguel Vargas

523

0.206

0.250

Jake Bauers

357

0.209

0.266

Jeremy Peña

568

0.276

0.277

Heriberto Hernández

382

0.266

0.228

Brooks Lee

482

0.232

0.253

Bryson Stott

569

0.262

0.256

Zack Gelof^†

352

0.225

0.256

Keibert Ruiz

451

0.246

0.280

Dillon Dingler

443

0.260

0.243

Brice Turang

614

100

0.257

0.268

Jeff McNeil

511

0.253

0.264

Otto Lopez

540

0.257

0.305

Joey Ortiz

506

0.233

0.270

Patrick Bailey

488

0.230

0.206

Griffin Conine

277

0.261

0.264

Victor Mesa Jr.^†

289

0.188

0.260

Richie Palacios

287

0.243

0.235

Brayan Rocchio

484

0.222

0.253

Adael Amador^†

353

0.176

0.277

Rafael Flores Jr.^†

229

0.200

0.264

Nick Sogard^†

287

0.266

0.255

Player

Team

Pre IP

Pre K

Actual K

Final K

Pre ERA

Actual ERA

Pre WHIP

Actual WHIP

Tarik Skubal

196

239

186

187

2.26

2.72

0.90

0.96

Paul Skenes

185

222

200

201

2.25

3.82

0.95

1.12

Dylan Cease

177

216

239

240

3.75

2.40

1.27

1.10

Freddy Peralta

181

215

156

157

3.51

4.42

1.14

1.33

Nick Pivetta^†

182

211

3.46

2.86

1.07

1.01

Carlos Rodón^†

194

206

3.83

2.67

1.18

1.06

Hunter Brown

187

206

124

125

3.69

3.19

1.21

1.27

Kevin Gausman

193

203

184

185

3.41

4.51

1.15

1.27

Sonny Gray

183

202

149

150

3.45

2.72

1.16

1.15

Joe Ryan

173

199

159

160

3.65

3.79

1.07

1.16

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

171

198

182

183

2.62

2.53

1.03

0.87

Yusei Kikuchi

182

196

4.34

4.92

1.30

1.54

Zack Wheeler^†

165

192

193

187

2.82

3.00

0.99

1.05

Cristopher Sánchez

200

191

231

232

3.20

2.91

1.13

1.20

Max Fried

194

189

104

105

3.07

2.80

1.13

0.99

Framber Valdez

192

189

135

136

3.20

4.03

1.16

1.36

MacKenzie Gore

168

188

174

173

4.51

4.58

1.39

1.34

Jacob deGrom

162

185

201

202

2.72

4.20

0.91

1.14

Chris Sale

146

185

200

201

2.89

2.16

1.06

0.98

Robbie Ray

171

183

140

141

3.70

3.59

1.22

1.35

Tanner Bibee

185

182

148

149

3.66

4.36

1.17

1.22

Bryan Woo

183

181

175

176

3.02

4.01

0.98

1.10

Nick Lodolo^†

161

171

4.00

4.97

1.20

1.48

Brandon Pfaadt

182

171

4.63

3.77

1.31

1.18

Chris Bassitt

176

169

4.21

4.41

1.31

1.55

Gavin Williams

165

169

248

249

3.82

3.76

1.29

1.11

Will Warren

156

169

158

159

4.82

3.92

1.44

1.37

Logan Gilbert

153

167

205

202

3.13

3.73

0.99

1.09

Shane Baz

164

154

155

4.00

4.11

1.25

1.35

Taj Bradley

154

164

205

206

4.44

3.73

1.30

1.22

David Peterson

170

161

137

138

4.16

4.79

1.40

1.50

José Soriano

170

160

169

170

3.63

3.91

1.32

1.29

Matthew Boyd

170

160

3.52

3.91

1.15

1.21

Ranger Suarez

165

158

140

141

3.82

3.22

1.27

1.19

Dean Kremer^†

173

154

4.11

4.68

1.26

1.14

Clay Holmes

162

149

3.49

3.29

1.28

1.19

Michael Wacha

178

148

158

159

3.54

3.32

1.19

1.11

Tyler Glasnow

117

148

2.85

3.53

1.03

0.95

Jeffrey Springs

163

147

112

113

3.91

6.18

1.18

1.46

Grayson Rodriguez^†

134

145

4.15

6.02

1.29

1.56

Shota Imanaga

159

145

174

3.59

3.77

1.01

1.10

Jake Irvin

185

143

110

111

4.75

5.48

1.34

1.40

Eduardo Rodriguez

153

143

144

4.50

2.89

1.37

1.24

George Kirby

147

142

148

149

3.43

4.33

1.09

1.40

Drew Rasmussen

148

138

174

175

2.82

2.67

1.03

0.91

Mason Miller

138

129

130

2.15

1.67

0.96

0.90

Cade Smith

138

107

108

1.99

1.95

0.95

0.96

Sean Burke

136

137

185

186

4.67

3.34

1.39

1.20

Jared Jones^†

125

136

123

120

3.88

3.72

1.19

1.08

Gerrit Cole^†

127

135

131

132

2.87

3.61

1.03

1.10

Casey Mize

155

133

110

111

4.49

4.32

1.35

1.23

Eury Pérez

116

132

170

171

3.37

3.91

1.09

1.21

Aaron Nola

126

128

177

178

4.20

4.67

1.21

1.35

Matthew Liberatore

155

126

154

155

4.24

5.23

1.33

1.47

Joey Cantillo

111

126

171

172

3.82

3.62

1.27

1.42

Michael King

109

125

159

160

3.48

3.21

1.18

Griffin Jax

121

116

117

3.00

3.53

1.11

1.18

Dustin May

137

120

144

145

3.98

4.70

1.29

1.32

Jacob Lopez

106

118

112

113

4.08

5.47

1.27

1.49

Jacob Misiorowski

114

252

245

3.61

1.80

1.23

0.80

Noah Cameron

137

113

158

159

3.34

4.11

1.10

1.23

Trevor Rogers

129

112

157

158

3.60

4.03

1.26

1.18

Reid Detmers

111

211

212

4.63

3.36

1.40

1.04

Zebby Matthews^†

111

116

117

5.85

4.90

1.54

1.26

Bryce Miller^†

121

110

119

120

3.62

4.17

1.13

1.16

Max Scherzer

104

109

4.26

5.74

1.18

1.33

Sean Manaea

101

108

144

139

3.61

4.78

1.16

1.30

Ryan Gusto^†

111

106

5.24

4.09

1.48

1.44

Walker Buehler

136

105

131

132

5.51

4.63

1.52

1.35

Mason Montgomery

105

4.78

2.88

1.56

1.03

Cam Schlittler

105

239

241

3.52

1.95

1.22

0.92

Patrick Sandoval^†

110

103

4.53

5.12

1.51

1.68

Ian Seymour

158

159

3.28

4.21

1.18

1.13

Nolan McLean

194

195

2.66

3.16

1.04

1.17

Tyler Mahle

102

137

138

3.19

3.99

1.14

1.23

Kumar Rocker

138

139

5.11

4.38

1.47

1.41

Logan Henderson^†

110

111

2.74

2.47

0.99

0.84

Peter Lambert^†

154

153

5.31

3.82

1.50

1.25

Ryan Feltner

4.46

5.40

1.42

1.51

Brandon Young^†

133

134

5.84

3.56

1.54

1.35

Hayden Wesneski^†

4.41

3.25

1.20

1.13

Parker Messick

193

190

4.27

2.56

1.31

1.06

Jack Perkins^†

140

141

3.16

6.10

1.16

1.45

Jonah Tong^†

6.27

3.82

1.77

1.24

Bubba Chandler

140

141

2.30

4.50

0.93

1.40

Cade Cavalli

200

201

5.13

3.02

1.48

1.16

Payton Tolle^†

171

172

6.72

3.03

1.59

1.10

Jackson Jobe^†

4.41

3.91

1.42

1.17

Ryan Johnson

8.36

5.04

1.98

1.39

Anthony Molina^†

6.03

3.97

1.61

1.06

Andrew Alvarez^†

114

115

2.49

3.43

1.11

1.30

Robert Gasser^†

103

104

3.37

3.87

1.13

1.19